The European Commission has set the target that 25% of the agricultural land in the EU shall be organically farmed in 2030. Increasing the share of organic production in the EU can affect agricultural commodity markets and agriculture’s emissions of greenhouse gases and crop nutrients. In this project, we develop and apply the CAPRI simulation model to analyse the consequences for agriculture and the environment of different ways of achieving the target for organic production. The project is carried out in collaboration with an international group of researchers and is finalized in 2025.