AgriFood Working Paper 2024:3
Climate or biodiversity?
Agricultural policy for reducing
enteric methane emissions
while preserving species-rich
grasslands
Reducing enteric methane emissions from agriculture is considered imperative in the short term to
stabilise global warming below 1.5 degrees. However, policymakers are faced with multiple and
potentially conflicting goals in this pursuit, particularly with food security and conservation of
biodiversity. The aim of this paper is to investigate whether there exists a policy response that can
ensure the preservation of nature areas, specifically semi-natural pastures (naturbetesmarker), while
simultaneously reducing enteric methane emissions from livestock cost-effectively. We perform the
analysis with the spatial and dynamic, agent-based model AgriPoliS that is capable of simulating
structural change in agriculture in response to radical policy reform, which we extended for methane
abatement. Our simulations of the cost-effective solution for increasingly ambitious methane
abatement targets, demonstrated that 25 % abatement could be reached with minimal impact on
the area of pastures through re-structuring of livestock production and the use of a commercially
available feed additive (3-NOP) that suppresses the generation of methane in the rumen. We
conclude that technical measures to reduce emissions, such as feed additives, are a promising
complementary measure for reducing emissions, but currently farmers have no economic incentive
to invest in such low-cost abatement technologies. To avoid loss of nature areas dependent on
ruminant grazing, targeted agri-environmental schemes were found to be necessary to preserve
these areas in the event of climate action. In this respect agri-environmental payments play a crucial
role in strengthening the resilience of agricultural biodiversity to policy measures targeting methane
abatement.
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